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Crypto Adaptive Bot v3

4-strategy crypto EA with Bayesian confidence scoring and Kelly sizing

⚠ Risk disclaimer: Trading FX, gold, and crypto carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This is a software license, not financial advice — no profit guarantee. Past performance, backtests, and demos do not predict future results. Test on a demo account first.
A multi-strategy cryptocurrency EA for MT5 that fuses trend-following, mean-reversion, breakout and momentum signals, scores each opportunity with Bayesian probability and Monte Carlo simulation, sizes positions with a capped Kelly criterion, and adjusts strategy weights from its own results. Modular MQL5 source (math, probability, risk and adaptive engines in separate .mqh files you can read and audit). For brokers offering crypto CFDs on MT5.

What's included

  • 4 fused strategies: trend, mean-reversion, breakout, momentum
  • Bayesian confidence scoring + Monte Carlo outcome simulation
  • Kelly-criterion position sizing (capped for safety)
  • Self-adjusting strategy weights from live performance
  • Readable modular source — audit every formula
  • Works on any MT5 broker with crypto symbols

Deployment guide

How to set up

A safe first-run walkthrough — required inputs, supported brokers, and the checklist we ask every trader to complete before going live.

Runtime

Python 3.11+ · Docker Compose deployment recommended

Supported exchanges / brokers
  • Binance Spot + Futures
  • Bybit Unified
  • OKX v5
  • Any ccxt exchange (best-effort)
Required inputs

Exchange API keys

Required

Read + trade only. Withdrawal must be OFF.

Strategy mix

Enable/disable trend, mean-revert, breakout, funding-carry independently.

Kelly fraction

Fractional Kelly sizer. Default 0.25 (quarter-Kelly). Cap 0.5.

Bayesian confidence threshold

Trades below the threshold are vetoed automatically.

Universe

List of pairs to scan. Default: top 20 USDT-M perps by volume.

Safe first-run checklist
  1. 1Backtest each of the 4 strategies independently — keep only those with expectancy > 0.15R.
  2. 2Paper-trade the enabled mix for 21 days. Confirm live slippage < backtest slippage.
  3. 3Start live at 0.10x intended notional. Ramp only after 50 real closed trades per strategy.
  4. 4Withdraw profits weekly to cold storage — never let the trading wallet compound unbounded.
  5. 5Keep Bayesian confidence gate ≥ 0.55 for spot, ≥ 0.60 for futures.

docs/CONFIG.md walks through every YAML flag with sane defaults.

Not sure if this bot fits your account?

The DSR Crypto Trading Academy walks through the risk-first framework, backtest workflow, and live-deployment SOP that make every bot on this page tradeable.

Join the Academy

Refund & support

7-day refund if the codebase fails to install per the included guide. License key + up to 3 downloads within 72 hours after purchase. Support via info@digitalsilkroute.com.

Secure delivery
License key + signed link
3 downloads included
72-hour window
48h support
Weekdays, from our team
Refund policy
Read the terms

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